# Self confidence - Type: NTSB finding subsection - Path: [Personnel issues](https://openairdocs.org/ntsb-findings/02) › [Psychological](https://openairdocs.org/ntsb-findings/0202) › [Personality/attitude](https://openairdocs.org/ntsb-findings/020210) › Self confidence - NTSB code: 02021010 - Cases: 16 - In the probable cause: 7 - Fatal cases: 12 - All cases: https://openairdocs.org/ntsb-findings/02021010/cases.md - Cases with it in the probable cause: https://openairdocs.org/ntsb-findings/02021010/cases.md?cause=1 - Page: https://openairdocs.org/ntsb-findings/02021010 ## Cases per year (in the probable cause / all) - 2009: 1 / 3 - 2010: 0 / 1 - 2012: 0 / 1 - 2013: 1 / 1 - 2014: 1 / 1 - 2016: 1 / 2 - 2017: 0 / 1 - 2018: 0 / 1 - 2019: 1 / 1 - 2021: 1 / 2 - 2023: 1 / 1 - 2025: 0 / 1 ## Defining events in these cases - [Loss of control in flight](https://openairdocs.org/ntsb-events/240): 6 cases - [Low altitude operation/event](https://openairdocs.org/ntsb-events/220): 3 cases - [Controlled flight into terr/obj (CFIT)](https://openairdocs.org/ntsb-events/120): 3 cases - [VFR encounter with IMC](https://openairdocs.org/ntsb-events/401): 1 cases - [Runway excursion](https://openairdocs.org/ntsb-events/300): 1 cases - [Abrupt maneuver](https://openairdocs.org/ntsb-events/270): 1 cases - [Aerodynamic stall/spin](https://openairdocs.org/ntsb-events/241): 1 cases ## Aircraft models (registry) - [Piper PA-28-140](https://openairdocs.org/model/piper-pa-28-140): 2 cases - [Piper PA-28-180](https://openairdocs.org/model/piper-pa-28-180): 1 cases - [Piper PA-28-181](https://openairdocs.org/model/piper-pa-28-181): 1 cases - [Mooney M20E](https://openairdocs.org/model/mooney-m20e): 1 cases - [Aviat A-1B](https://openairdocs.org/model/aviat-a-1b): 1 cases - [Cessna 560XL](https://openairdocs.org/model/cessna-560xl): 1 cases - [Cessna U206G](https://openairdocs.org/model/cessna-u206g): 1 cases - [Cessna 182H](https://openairdocs.org/model/cessna-182h): 1 cases - [Cessna 182D](https://openairdocs.org/model/cessna-182d): 1 cases - [Cessna R172K](https://openairdocs.org/model/cessna-r172k): 1 cases ## Other findings in the same cases - [Decision making/judgment](https://openairdocs.org/ntsb-findings/02041520) (Personnel issues): 14 cases - [Aircraft control](https://openairdocs.org/ntsb-findings/02063040) (Personnel issues): 6 cases - [Total instrument experience](https://openairdocs.org/ntsb-findings/02031030) (Personnel issues): 3 cases - [Altitude](https://openairdocs.org/ntsb-findings/01062012) (Aircraft): 3 cases - [Performance/control parameters, general](https://openairdocs.org/ntsb-findings/01062000) (Aircraft): 3 cases - [Mountainous/hilly terrain](https://openairdocs.org/ntsb-findings/03021010) (Environmental issues): 2 cases - [Identification/recognition](https://openairdocs.org/ntsb-findings/02041510) (Personnel issues): 2 cases - [Lack of action](https://openairdocs.org/ntsb-findings/02041030) (Personnel issues): 2 cases - [Situational awareness](https://openairdocs.org/ntsb-findings/02022035) (Personnel issues): 2 cases - [Use of medication/drugs](https://openairdocs.org/ntsb-findings/02013020) (Personnel issues): 2 cases ## Newest cases - [NTSB ANC25LA083](https://openairdocs.org/ntsb/ANC25LA083), Aug 2, 2025: Aviat A-1B (N900HY), Chisana, AK, substantial damage. Probable cause: The pilot’s failure to maintain clearance from terrain while maneuvering at low altitude. - [NTSB WPR24FA040](https://openairdocs.org/ntsb/WPR24FA040), Nov 26, 2023: Piper PA-28-180 (N7763W), Mertzon, TX, destroyed, 3 fatal. Probable cause: The non-instrument-rated pilot’s continued visual flight into night instrument meteorological conditions, which resulted in spatial disorientation and subsequent loss of control. Contributing to the… - [NTSB ERA21LA296](https://openairdocs.org/ntsb/ERA21LA296), Jul 21, 2021: Cessna 560XL (N46CF), Reading, PA, substantial damage. Probable cause: The captain’s improper decision to continue an unstabilized approach despite several go-around calls by the pilot monitoring, which resulted in a runway excursion and substantial damage to the… - [NTSB WPR21FA231](https://openairdocs.org/ntsb/WPR21FA231), Jun 18, 2021: Piper PA-28-140 (N6323R), Rush Valley, UT, substantial damage, 2 fatal. Probable cause: The pilot’s misidentification of a mountain pass at night, which resulted in controlled flight into terrain. Contributing to the accident were the pilot’s overconfidence based on her previous… - [NTSB WPR19MA177](https://openairdocs.org/ntsb/WPR19MA177), Jun 22, 2019: Beech 65-A90 (N256TA), Mokuleia, HI, destroyed, 11 fatal. Probable cause: The pilot’s aggressive takeoff maneuver, which resulted in an accelerated stall and subsequent loss of control at an altitude that was too low for recovery. Contributing to the accident were (1) the… - [NTSB CEN18FA386](https://openairdocs.org/ntsb/CEN18FA386), Sep 24, 2018: Cessna U206 (N1738R), Rainy Pass, AK, destroyed, 1 fatal. Probable cause: The pilot's improper decision to continue the flight in deteriorating weather conditions, which resulted in an inadvertent entry into a box canyon and subsequent controlled flight into mountainous… - [NTSB ANC18FA007](https://openairdocs.org/ntsb/ANC18FA007), Nov 7, 2017: Icon A5 (N922BA), Clearwater, FL, substantial damage, 1 fatal. Probable cause: The pilot's improper decision to perform aggressive, low-altitude maneuvers due to his impairment from the use of multiple psychoactive substances, which resulted in a loss of control. - [NTSB ERA17FA073](https://openairdocs.org/ntsb/ERA17FA073), Dec 26, 2016: Cessna 182 (N1839X), Gatlinburg, TN, destroyed, 3 fatal. Probable cause: The non-instrument-rated pilot's intentional visual flight rules flight into instrument meteorological conditions, which resulted in controlled flight into terrain. Contributing to the accident was… - [NTSB WPR17FA008](https://openairdocs.org/ntsb/WPR17FA008), Oct 15, 2016: Cessna 182D (N8718X), South Lake Tahoe, CA, destroyed, 1 fatal. Probable cause: The noninstrument-rated pilot's decision to depart on and continue a flight over mountainous terrain into forecast instrument metrological conditions, icing, and hazardous wind conditions that… - [NTSB CEN14LA454](https://openairdocs.org/ntsb/CEN14LA454), Aug 24, 2014: Rans S17 (UNREG), Lowell, MI, substantial damage, 1 fatal. Probable cause: The pilot’s overconfidence, which led to his improper decision to continue flight in the recently purchased, unregistered airplane without acquiring training and to his continued erratic handling of… NTSB has coded findings and defining events since 2008; earlier cases used its older occurrence and cause codes and aren't counted. Findings: https://openairdocs.org/ntsb-findings.md. Defining events: https://openairdocs.org/ntsb-events.md. Phases of flight: https://openairdocs.org/ntsb-phases.md. Every investigation, filtered by finding, event, phase, state, year or model: https://openairdocs.org/ntsb.md (for example ?state=MI&fatal=1). NTSB's definitions: Accident and incident, 49 CFR 830.2 (https://www.ecfr.gov/current/title-49/subtitle-B/chapter-VIII/part-830/subpart-A/section-830.2), CICTT occurrence categories (PDF) (https://www.ntsb.gov/safety/data/Documents/datafiles/OccurrenceCategoryDefinitions.pdf), CICTT phases of flight (PDF) (https://www.ntsb.gov/safety/data/Documents/datafiles/PhaseofFlightDefinitions.pdf), and NTSB coding manual, before 2008 (PDF) (https://www.ntsb.gov/GILS/Documents/codman.pdf). NTSB publishes no definitions for its findings, only their names. --- OpenAirDocs.org is an independent research project of [Contrail Labs](https://contraillabs.com/). It is not affiliated with the FAA or the NTSB. Source documents are U.S. government works in the public domain.