# NTSB ANC16LA060: Piper PA 18-150, N8998Y, Salcha, AK, August 27, 2016

- Type: NTSB accident investigation
- Classification: Accident · Serious injuries · Limited investigation · Final report
- Date: August 27, 2016, 10:48 local (18:48 UTC)
- Place: Salcha, AK
- Coordinates: 64.511108, -146.68222
- Nearby events: https://openairdocs.org/map.md?lat=64.5111&lon=-146.6822&mi=10
- Phase of flight: [Enroute](https://openairdocs.org/ntsb-phases/400) (OpenAirDocs' grouping)
- Defining event: [Enroute: VFR encounter with IMC](https://openairdocs.org/ntsb-events/401)
- Highest injury: Serious injuries
- Injuries: 1 serious
- Status: Completed, report September 10, 2018
- Report: Approved by Office Director
- NTSB office: Alaska Regional Office
- Parties: FAA
- NTSB case key (mKey): 93916
- NTSB case page: https://web.ntsb.gov/investigations/?ntsbnumber=ANC16LA060
- NTSB report (PDF, downloads): https://data.ntsb.gov/carol-repgen/api/Aviation/ReportMain/GenerateNewestReport/93916/pdf
- NTSB docket: https://data.ntsb.gov/Docket?ProjectID=93916
- Page: https://openairdocs.org/ntsb/ANC16LA060

## Probable cause

The pilot's decision to continue visual flight into instrument meteorological conditions, which resulted in an in-flight collision with terrain.

## Findings

NTSB's coded findings; those marked are part of the probable cause.

- [Experience/qualifications: qualification/certification](https://openairdocs.org/ntsb-findings/02031010): Personnel issues › Experience/knowledge · Pilot (probable cause); cases with it: [Piper PA-18-150, 2 cases](https://openairdocs.org/ntsb-findings/02031010/cases.md?model=7101828), [All aircraft, 280 cases](https://openairdocs.org/ntsb-findings/02031010/cases.md)
- [Info processing/decision: decision making/judgment](https://openairdocs.org/ntsb-findings/02041520): Personnel issues › Action/decision · Pilot (probable cause); cases with it: [Piper PA-18-150, 51 cases](https://openairdocs.org/ntsb-findings/02041520/cases.md?model=7101828), [All aircraft, 3,098 cases](https://openairdocs.org/ntsb-findings/02041520/cases.md)
- [Ceiling/visibility/precip: below VFR minima](https://openairdocs.org/ntsb-findings/03035075): Environmental issues › Conditions/weather/phenomena · Decision related to condition (probable cause); cases with it: [Piper PA-18-150, 1 case](https://openairdocs.org/ntsb-findings/03035075/cases.md?model=7101828), [All aircraft, 184 cases](https://openairdocs.org/ntsb-findings/03035075/cases.md)
- [Object/animal/substance: tree(s)](https://openairdocs.org/ntsb-findings/03022020): Environmental issues › Physical environment · Not specified; cases with it: [Piper PA-18-150, 19 cases](https://openairdocs.org/ntsb-findings/03022020/cases.md?model=7101828), [All aircraft, 933 cases](https://openairdocs.org/ntsb-findings/03022020/cases.md)

## Sequence of events

The events NTSB coded, in order, by phase of flight. The defining event best describes what happened.

- [Enroute: VFR encounter with IMC](https://openairdocs.org/ntsb-events/401) (defining event); cases with it: [Piper PA-18-150, 2 cases](https://openairdocs.org/ntsb-events/401/sequence.md?model=7101828), [All aircraft, 392 cases](https://openairdocs.org/ntsb-events/401/sequence.md)
- [Enroute: Controlled flight into terr/obj (CFIT)](https://openairdocs.org/ntsb-events/120); cases with it: [Piper PA-18-150, 6 cases](https://openairdocs.org/ntsb-events/120/sequence.md?model=7101828), [All aircraft, 1,074 cases](https://openairdocs.org/ntsb-events/120/sequence.md)
- [Post-impact: Fire/smoke (post-impact)](https://openairdocs.org/ntsb-events/170); cases with it: [Piper PA-18-150, 2 cases](https://openairdocs.org/ntsb-events/170/sequence.md?model=7101828), [All aircraft, 354 cases](https://openairdocs.org/ntsb-events/170/sequence.md)

## Analysis

The student pilot stated that he was conducting a solo cross-country flight when he entered instrument meteorological conditions (IMC) during the en route portion of the flight. In an attempt to exit IMC, the pilot continued straight ahead and began a descent. While descending, he saw trees through the fog and attempted to climb just prior to impacting the trees. Following the impact, a post-crash fire ensued. The accident pilot's flight instructor stated that he departed about 10 minutes ahead of the accident pilot in the same direction, but due to low cloud ceilings had returned to his departure airport. When he landed and turned on his cell phone, he received a voicemail from the accident pilot stating that he had crashed, there was a post-crash fire, and he needed help.

## Factual narrative

On August 27, 2016, about 1048 Alaska daylight time (AKD), a float-equipped Piper PA-18 airplane, N8998Y, sustained substantial damage after impacting mountainous terrain about 9 miles southwest of Salcha, Alaska. The student pilot, the sole occupant, sustained serious injuries. The airplane was registered to and operated by the pilot under the provisions of Title 14 Code of Federal Regulations (CFR) Part 91 as a personal flight. Instrument meteorological conditions (IMC) prevailed at the time of the accident and no flight plan had been filed. The flight departed Chena Marina Airport (AK28), Fairbanks, Alaska about 1015 AKD en route to Birch Lake. According to the pilot's flight instructor, the purpose of the flight was for the pilot to attend a business meeting. During an interview with the National Transportation Safety Board (NTSB) investigator-in-charge (IIC) on August 27, the pilot's flight instructor stated that the night before the accident, the accident airplane was experiencing anomalies with the aircraft communications radio. The radio was to be repaired the night before the flight. On the day of the accident, the instructor departed about 10 minutes ahead of the accident pilot in the same direction. Due to low cloud ceilings, the flight instructor returned to Chena Marina. When he landed and turned on his cell phone, he received a voicemail from the accident pilot stating that he had crashed, there was a post-crash fire, and he needed help. The timestamp on the voicemail was 1052. The pilot was rescued by a US Army UH-60 Blackhawk helicopter about 1350 and transported for treatment. A review of archived Federal Aviation Administration air traffic radar and audio recordings depicted the flight instructor's airplane departing AK28 about 1009 and the accident airplane departing about 1015. Immediately after departure, air traffic control queried the accident pilot as to his heading, which he responded with "southeast." Air traffic control queried again for the actual heading, and once more the accident pilot replied "southeast." At 1016, air traffic control asked for his altitude, which he advised was 1,400 ft. At 1030, the pilot made an unauthorized entry into the western edge of the airspace controlled by Eielson Air Force Base. At 1034, the radar data depicts the airplane on a ground track of 123 degrees magnetic and at 1041 the airplane is depicted on a ground track of 117 degrees magnetic. The last radar return attributed to the accident airplane was at 1048 near the location of the accident site. All radio communications from the accident pilot contain static noise consistent with radio interference. The pilot stated on the NTSB Pilot/Operator Aircraft Accident/Incident Report that he departed AK28 about 1015 destined for Birch Lake. While en route, he entered IMC and elected to continue straight ahead and began a descent. While descending, he saw trees through the fog and attempted to climb just prior to impacting the trees.Following the impact, a post-crash fire ensued. The closest weather reporting facility is Eielson Air Force Base, Fairbanks, Alaska, about 16 miles northwest of the accident site. At 1043, a METAR from the Eielson Air Force Base was reporting in part: Wind from 360° at 4 knots; sky condition, overcast at 200 ft; visibility, 3/4 statute miles; temperature, 54° F; dewpoint, 54° F; altimeter, 30.23 inches of mercury.

## Aircraft

- Registration: [N8998Y](https://openairdocs.org/deregistered/N8998Y-2018-12-20), registration cancelled 2018-12-20, S/N 18-7509132, built 1975 (OpenAirDocs)
- Reported make and model: PIPER PA 18-150
- Registry model: [Piper PA-18-150](https://openairdocs.org/model/piper-pa-18-150) (registry code 7101828) (OpenAirDocs)
- Registry engine: [Lycoming 0-320 series](https://openairdocs.org/engine/lycoming-0-320-series) (registry code 41508, reciprocating) (OpenAirDocs)
- Category: Airplane
- Serial number: 18-7509132
- Year built: 1975
- Airframe hours: 1950
- Engines: LYCOMING O-320 SERIES 150 horsepower reciprocating
- Damage: Substantial damage
- Fire: On-Ground
- Flight: Personal, Part 91
- Airworthiness certificate: Standard, Normal
- Last inspection: Annual, July 11, 2016, 6 hours before
- Departed: AK28, FAIRBANKS, AK
- Destination: Salcha, AK
- Equipment: Handheld GPS

## Flight crew

As NTSB recorded them. NTSB leaves out names.

- Pilot; age 69; injuries: serious; student; medical: class 3, with waivers/limitations; seat: front; flight hours: 450 total, 450 in this make and model, 350 as pilot in command, 12 in the last 90 days, 12 in the last 30 days

## Weather

- Conditions: Instrument (IMC), Day
- Wind: 360° at 4 knots
- Visibility: 1.75 statute miles
- Lowest ceiling: 200 ft overcast
- Temperature: 54 °F, dew point 54 °F
- Altimeter: 30.22 inHg
- Turbulence: Unknown
- Observed at: PAEI, 15 nm away

## FAA reports on this event (1)

The FAA's own accident and incident reports, matched to the aircraft by N-number and date (OpenAirDocs).

- [Accident 20160827025279A](https://openairdocs.org/incident/20160827025279A), Aug 27, 2016: Piper PA-18-150, North Pole, AK, Destroyed. Student pilot met his instructor at chena marina where they both intended on flying to koole lake. His plan was to follow his flight instructor and to rely on…

## Other investigations on N8998Y (2)

From the NTSB's public API. Aircraft are matched to registry aircraft by N-number and event date, checked against the reported serial number, make and model; the registry's history has gaps, so older matches can be wrong. Compare the reported make and model.

- [NTSB ANC11CA115](https://openairdocs.org/ntsb/ANC11CA115), Sep 26, 2011: Piper PA-18-150 (N8998Y), Fairbanks, AK, substantial damage. Probable cause: The student pilot's hard landing in a gusting wind.
- [NTSB ANC77DAH04](https://openairdocs.org/ntsb/ANC77DAH04-201352), Oct 15, 1976: Piper PA-18 (N8998Y), Skwentna, AK, substantial damage

## Docket (2 files)

The files NTSB released with the investigation on April 4, 2018, on NTSB's docket system: https://data.ntsb.gov/Docket?ProjectID=93916. 2.0 MB in all.

- Pilot/Operator Aircraft Accident Report, NTSB Form 6120.1 (item 1, .PDF, 899 KB): https://data.ntsb.gov/Docket/Document/docBLOB?ID=40461675&FileExtension=.PDF&FileName=Pilot%2FOperator%20Aircraft%20Accident%20Report,%20NTSB%20Form%206120.1-Master.PDF
- Photos (item 2, .PDF, 3 photos, 1.1 MB): https://data.ntsb.gov/Docket/Document/docBLOB?ID=40461677&FileExtension=.PDF&FileName=Photos-Master.PDF

From the NTSB's public API. Aircraft are matched to registry aircraft by N-number and event date, checked against the reported serial number, make and model; the registry's history has gaps, so older matches can be wrong. Compare the reported make and model.

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