# NTSB MIA07LA073: Piper PA-46-310P, N444JH, Bird Cay, Bahamas, April 10, 2007 - Type: NTSB accident investigation - Classification: Accident · Fatal · Limited investigation · Final report - Date: April 10, 2007, 17:03 local (21:03 UTC) - Place: Bird Cay, Bahamas - Coordinates: 25.362777, -77.625831 - Nearby events: https://openairdocs.org/map.md?lat=25.3628&lon=-77.6258&mi=10 - Phase of flight: [Enroute](https://openairdocs.org/ntsb-phases/400) (OpenAirDocs' grouping) - Highest injury: Fatal - Injuries: 2 fatal - Status: Completed, report August 28, 2008 - Report: Approved by Office Director - Parties: FAA/IFO, Piper Aircraft, Inc., Teledyne Continental Motors - NTSB case key (mKey): 65586 - NTSB case page: https://web.ntsb.gov/investigations/?ntsbnumber=MIA07LA073 - NTSB report (PDF, downloads): https://data.ntsb.gov/carol-repgen/api/Aviation/ReportMain/GenerateNewestReport/65586/pdf - Page: https://openairdocs.org/ntsb/MIA07LA073 ## Probable cause The pilot's poor in-flight weather evaluation, which resulted in flight into a level 6 thunderstorm. ## Sequence of events In NTSB's coding before 2008 (https://www.ntsb.gov/GILS/Documents/codman.pdf). - In flight encounter with weather, cruise - normal - in flight weather avoidance assistance - not possible, atc personnel(dep/apch) - radar,weather (atc/ground facility) - inoperative - weather condition - thunderstorm - weather evaluation - poor, pilot in command (cause) - Loss of control - in flight, cruise - normal - In flight collision with terrain/water, descent - uncontrolled - terrain condition - water ## Analysis The pilot obtained two data user access terminal service (DUATS) preflight weather briefings for the intended flight from the U.S. to Nassau, Bahamas; the briefings included information that thunderstorms were forecasted. The pilot did not request a weather briefing with DUATS or Lockheed Martin flight service station before departure on the return accident flight. Although there was no way to tell whether he received a preflight weather briefing with Nassau Flight Service Station before departure on the accident flight, thunderstorms with associated severe turbulence were forecasted for the accident area well in advance of the aircraft's departure, and would have been available had the pilot requested/obtained a preflight weather briefing. After takeoff, and while in contact with Nassau terminal radar approach control, which had inoperative primary radar, the flight climbed to approximately 8,000 feet mean sea level and proceeded on a northwesterly heading with little deviation. The airplane, which was equipped with color weather radar and a stormscope, penetrated level 6 radar returns with numerous lightning strikes in the area, and began a steep descent. Prior to that there was no request by the pilot to air traffic control for weather avoidance assistance or weather deviation. Radar and radio communications were lost, and the wreckage and occupants were not recovered. ## Factual narrative HISTORY OF FLIGHT On April 10, 2007, about 1703 Atlantic standard time, a Piper PA-46-310P, N444JH, registered to Happy Skies, Inc., was lost from radar and presumed to have crashed into the Atlantic Ocean, near Bird Cay, Berry Islands, Bahamas. Daylight instrument meteorological conditions prevailed in the area at the time and an instrument flight rules flight plan was filed for the 14 Code of Federal Regulations (CFR) Part 91 business flight from Nassau International Airport (MYNN), Nassau, Bahamas, to Fort Lauderdale/Hollywood International Airport (FLL), Fort Lauderdale, Florida. The airplane has not been located and is presumed to be destroyed. The certificated commercial pilot and pilot-rated passenger were not recovered and are presumed to be fatally injured. The flight originated from MYNN about 1650. On the day of the accident at 1528, the Nassau terminal radar approach control (TRACON) airport surveillance radar (ASR) primary radar became inoperative. With this type of radar outage, the Nassau radar controller could not receive any information regarding precipitation in the area. After takeoff, the pilot established contact with Nassau TRACON, and advised the Nassau radar departure controller that the aircraft was climbing through 600 feet mean sea level (msl) flying runway heading. About 6 seconds later, the controller advised the pilot that the airplane was radar identified, instructed him to climb and maintain 12,000 feet msl, and to fly a heading of 050 degrees; the pilot acknowledged the instructions. At 1653:45, the controller instructed the pilot to climb and maintain 8,000 feet msl, and to turn left heading 320 degrees, which the pilot acknowledged. Recorded radar data indicated that between 1653:51, and 1700:15, the airplane climbed to 8,000 feet msl, and remained at that altitude until 1701:39. The airplane then climbed to 8,100 feet msl, and remained at that altitude for three successive radar returns. At 1701:58, the controller instructed the pilot to turn left and intercept the Bahamas Route (BR) 57V and for him to resume his own navigation, which he also acknowledged. Recorded radar data further indicated that at 1702:02, and 1702:08, the airplane was 8,200 feet msl. Between 1702:08, and 1702:39 (last discrete transponder return), the airplane descended from 8,200 to 6,300 feet msl. The last discrete radar beacon target was located at 25 degrees 21 minutes 46.069 seconds North latitude, and 077 degrees 37 minutes 33.484 seconds West longitude, or about 10 nautical miles east-southeast of Bird Cay, Berry Islands, Bahamas. The radar data further indicated there was little deviation while flying on the northwesterly heading. The pilot did not request with air traffic control (ATC) weather avoidance assistance nor did he request to deviate due to adverse weather. At 1705:43, the controller instructed the pilot to climb and maintain 12,000 feet, and to contact the Miami (ZMA) air route traffic control center (ARTCC) on frequency 125.7. The pilot did not acknowledge this transmission nor did he contact ZMA ARTCC. Over the course of 4 minutes, the Nassau TRACON controller attempted to communicate with the pilot several times but there was no response. At 1706:26, the ZMA Nassau low controller asked the Nassau radar data controller, "Could you tell me where november four juliet hotel is? I've lost radar contact with him." About 10 seconds later, the Nassau radar data controller stated, "I have no idea where that aircraft is." At 1727, ZMA ARTCC advised Nassau TRACON that about 1705, the U.S. military tracked and observed an aircraft in a rapid descent from 8,000 feet to sea level. The U.S. Coast Guard (Coast Guard), Bahamas Air Sea Rescue Association (BASRA), and Royal Bahamas Defense Force (RBDF) were notified of the possible downed aircraft. The Coast Guard launched multiple air assets from several locations in Florida, sea assets, and also an air asset from Andros Island, Bahamas. The first Coast Guard air asset arrived in the area at 1803, and an oil sheen was noted at 1913. The bodies were first spotted at 1940; however, their condition precluded recovery. A subsequent search for the occupants and wreckage yielded negative results. PERSONNEL INFORMATION The pilot, age 75, held a commercial pilot certificate with airplane single engine land, and instrument airplane ratings, issued May 21, 2004, and a second-class medical certificate issued June 1, 2006, with a limitation to wear corrective lenses for near and distant vision. He indicated having 9,819 hours total time on the application for his last medical certificate. The pilot's last flight review in accordance with (IAW) 14 CFR Part 61.56, and instrument proficiency check IAW 14 CFR Part 61.57 occurred on September 22, 2006. Personnel of the facility that provided the instruction reported the September instruction was the last they had given the pilot, and the combined ground and flight instruction would have occurred in a 6 to 8 hour period during the course of 1 day. The pilot would have been provided stickers to place in his pilot logbook, which documented the flights; they did not keep a copy of the stickers for their records. The pilot logbook was not located; therefore, no determination could be made whether he met the instrument experience requirements specified in 14 CFR Part 61.57. The passenger, age 55, held a private pilot certificate with airplane single engine land rating issued on May 25, 2001, and a third-class medical certificate issued October 11, 2005, with a limitation to wear corrective lenses. He indicated having 2,530 hours on the application for his last medical certificate. AIRCRAFT INFORMATION The airplane was manufactured in 1985, by Piper Aircraft, Inc., as model PA-46-310P, and was designated serial number 46-8608014. It was powered by a 310-horsepower Teledyne Continental Motors (TCM) TSIO-520-BE engine and equipped with a constant speed propeller. The airplane was also equipped with color weather radar installed at the time of manufacture. In addition, the pilot's son reported the airplane was equipped with a stormscope, and XM weather downlink, though records on file with the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) located in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, did not depict installation of the stormscope or equipment associated with XM weather. Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) records indicated the pilot owned the airplane since 1995. National Transportation Safety Board review of the copies of the maintenance records provided by the insurance adjuster revealed the airplane was last inspected in accordance with a 100-hour inspection on April 9, 2007. The airplane total time and the engine time since major overhaul at that time were 6,912.5 hours and 2,006.9 hours, respectively. METEOROLOGICAL INFORMATION The pilot obtained two standard route weather briefings using Data Transformation Corporation (DTC) direct user access terminal service (DUATS), for a route from Page Field Airport (FMY), Fort Myers, Florida, to MYNN. The first briefing occurred on April 9, 2007, at 2054, and the second briefing occurred on the day of the accident at 0730. Both briefings utilized the Miami Area Forecast (which was not valid for the accident site area), and both contained a caution that information should be secured at the first available opportunity from the country in whose airspace the flight will be conducted. During the last briefing, the synopsis for southern Florida indicated that after 1100, isolated light rain showers, isolated thunderstorm with light rain, and cumulonimbus cloud tops to flight level (FL) 370. The synopsis for the southern Florida area of the Atlantic coastal waters indicated tops layered to FL240. The pilot did not request, nor was he provided the offshore area forecast (FACA20), which indicated isolated moderate thunderstorms and rain. In addition, during the last briefing, the pilot was provid ## Aircraft - Registration: [N444JH](https://openairdocs.org/deregistered/N444JH-2008-02-05), registration cancelled 2008-02-05, S/N 46-8608014, built 1985 (OpenAirDocs) - Reported make and model: Piper PA-46-310P - Registry model: [Piper PA-46-310P](https://openairdocs.org/model/piper-pa-46-310p) (registry code 7104605) (OpenAirDocs) - Registry engine: [Continental TSIO-520 series](https://openairdocs.org/engine/continental-tsio-520-series) (registry code 17040, reciprocating) (OpenAirDocs) - Category: Airplane - Serial number: 46-8608014 - Airframe hours: 6912.5 - Engines: Continental TSIO-520-BE 310 horsepower reciprocating - Damage: Destroyed - Flight: Business, Part 91 - Operator: Ernest M. Kollmann - Registered owner: Happy Skies, Inc. - Airworthiness certificate: Standard, Normal - Last inspection: 100 hour, April 1, 2007 - Departed: MYNN, Nassau - Destination: KFLL, Fort Lauderdale, FL - Flight plan: IFR ## Flight crew As NTSB recorded them. NTSB leaves out names. - Pilot; age 75; injuries: fatal; commercial; airplane ratings: single-engine land; instrument ratings: airplane; medical: class 2, with waivers/limitations; last flight review September 1, 2006; flight hours: 9,818 total ## Weather - Conditions: Instrument (IMC), Day - Wind: 160° at 15 knots - Visibility: 9.21 statute miles - Lowest ceiling: 1,800 ft broken - Temperature: 84 °F, dew point 75 °F - Altimeter: 29.88 inHg - Observed at: MYNN From the NTSB's public API. Aircraft are matched to registry aircraft by N-number and event date, checked against the reported serial number, make and model; the registry's history has gaps, so older matches can be wrong. Compare the reported make and model. --- OpenAirDocs.org is an independent research project of [Contrail Labs](https://contraillabs.com/). It is not affiliated with the FAA or the NTSB. Source documents are U.S. government works in the public domain.