Aviation Weather Services, Advisory Circular 00-45F, Change 2 (March 2009)
MKC indicates the location of the forecast. The rest of the data is the winds and temperature aloft forecast for the respective altitudes.
The following table shows data for MKC (Kansas City, MO).
Table 7-10. Wind and Temperature Aloft Forecast Decoding Examples FT 3000 6000 9000 12000 18000 24000 30000 34000 39000 MKC 9900 1709+06 2018+00 2130-06 2242-18 2361-30 247242 258848 550252 Altitude (feet) Coded Wind Temperature (oC) 3,000 FT 9900 Light and variable Not forecast 6,000 FT 1709+06 170 degrees at 9 knots +06 degrees Celsius 9,000 FT 2018+00 200 degrees at 18 knots Zero degrees Celsius 12,000 FT 2130-06 210 degrees at 30 knots -06 degrees Celsius 18,000 FT 2242-18 220 degrees at 42 knots -18 degrees Celsius 24,000 FT 2361-30 230 degrees at 61 knots -30 degrees Celsius 30,000 FT 247242 240 degrees at 72 knots -42 degrees Celsius 34,000 FT 258848 250 degrees at 88 knots -48 degrees Celsius 39,000 FT 750252 250 degrees at 102 knots -52 degrees Celsius
7.4.2.2 Example for the Contiguous US and Alaska DATA BASED ON 091200Z VALID 091800Z FOR USE 1400-2100Z. TEMPS NEG ABV 24000
FT 3000 6000 9000 12000 18000 24000 30000 34000 39000 ABI 1931+10 1929+10 2024+06 2331-10 2448-23 235239 246348 256056 ABQ 2213+03 2327-04 2253-17 2263-27 227242 236946 245749 ABR 2017 2312+14 2308+09 2615+02 2724-13 2527-26 273641 274051 274562 AGC (etc.)
FT 45000 53000 ABI 301049 281149 ABQ 235061 244859 ABR 224559 243756 AGC (etc.)
Note: 45,000- and 53,000-foot winds are not available for selected locations in the conterminous US.
7.4.2.3 Example for Hawaii and the Western Pacific DATA BASED ON 091200Z VALID 091800Z FOR USE 1400-2100Z. TEMPS NEG ABV 24000
FT 1000 1500 2000 3000 6000 9000 12000 15000 18000 24000 LIH 9900 9900 1705 1806 1711+13 2216+10 2520+05 2523+01 2833-07 2937-19 HNL 9900 9900 9900 9900 1407+14 1908+11 2410+05 2612+01 2928-07 2930-18 LNY 9900 9900 9900 9900 1208+14 9900+11 9900+06 2909+01 3024-07 3027-18 OGG (etc.)
FT 30000 34000 39000 45000 53000 LIH 040734 990044 241055 281666 990072 HNL 051234 010543 250654 301066 990072 AC 00-45F, CHG 2 Section 7: Forecast Text Products Page 7-41
Aviation Weather Services, Advisory Circular 00-45F, Change 2 (March 2009) INY 041433 010743 230754 260966 990072 OGG (etc) Note: The altitudes forecast in the Hawaii and western Pacific bulletins are different than those forecast in the Contiguous US and Alaska Note: The Hawaii and western Pacific bulletins are separated at the 24,000 foot level instead of 39,000 feet because of the additional, lower levels noted in Table 7-8.
7.4.3 Issuance The NWS National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) produces scheduled Wind and Temperature Aloft Forecasts (FB) four (4) times daily for specified locations in the Continental United States (CONUS), the Hawaiian Islands, Alaska and coastal waters, and the western Pacific Ocean (Figures 7-8 through 7-11).
Amendments are not issued to the forecasts.
•CAR SEA
AST PDXYKM GEGFCA FEMLEEGR
•OTH KUM IMB •BOI ELWS •DLN «BIL"MLS DIK •GTF "GGW «MOT GFK INL CABRAXN *OLH NQT SSM NO MKG ECK BUF AVP JFK SYR ALB PACK SPLE PWR BUL ABOS FOT SIY "MSP *RBL •РІН •CZI CRAP PIR • LSE SFO •SACRNO BAM •ELY "SLC RKS, *LND MBW BFF ONL "GRI OMA DSMI BRL JOT FWACMHAGC ENI SCLE PSB CEKN RIC SACY ВІН "SP! "IND _ORF "FAT •ВСЕ TRI "RDU HAT SBA •WJF SAN BLH *PRC • ONT •LAS ZUN ABO fCC AMA •OKC °FSM * FMN ALS *GCK ICT •SGF • GAG +TUL SGRU CGI BNA YS MEM HSV GSP FLOWN •CAE PCHS
•РНХ •LIT •BHMATL TSAV
• TUS HELP INK + ROW LBB • MRF +DRT ABI *DAL *SHV •SAFPSX • T01•TO6 "TO7 "443 PIE SPS *CLL LOLCH NSTMOE PEN SHOU -JAN MGM SCSG ATLH AMLE
• H61 AMIA
ALRD CRP BRO H51 ФH52 . CETW Figure 7-8. Wind and Temperature Aloft Forecast Network - Contiguous US AC 00-45F, CHG 2 Section 7: Forecast Text Products Page 7-42
Aviation Weather Services, Advisory Circular 00-45F, Change 2 (March 2009) 70
•BRW LUR QTZ AFM *BTT *FYU
• GAL • FAI LOUNK 60 ÇZF *MCG • TKA GKN ORT
BET ALANC
•SNP JEHM WAKN * HOM *MDO • 5AG
• 5AP FANN * 5AB *SAE
•ADK + 5AD 5AC -180 -170 -160 -150 -140 -130 Figure 7-9. Wind and Temperature Aloft Forecast Network - Alaska 22 LIH AHNL ragG LNY 20
KOA LITO 160 - 158 156 Figure 7-10. Wind and Temperature Aloft Forecast Network - Hawaii AC 00-45F, CHG 2 Section 7: Forecast Text Products Page 7-43
Aviation Weather Services, Advisory Circular 00-45F, Change 2 (March 2009) AC 00-45F, CHG 2 Section 7: Forecast Text Products Page 7-44
Figure 7-11. Wind and Temperature Aloft Forecast Network - Western Pacific
Table 7-11. Wind and Temperature Aloft Forecast (FB) Periods Model Run Product Available 6 hour Forecast 12 hour Forecast 24 hour Forecast Valid For Use Valid For Use Valid For Use 0000Z ~0200Z 0600Z 0200-0900Z 1200Z 0900-1800Z 0000Z 1800-0600Z 0600Z ~0800Z 1200Z 0800-1500Z 1800Z 1500-0000Z 0600Z 0000-1200Z 1200Z ~1400Z 1800Z 1400-2100Z 0000Z 2100-0600Z 1200Z 0600-1800Z 1800Z ~2000Z 0000Z 2000-0300Z 0600Z 0300-1200Z 1800Z 1200-0000Z
7.4.4 Delayed Forecasts If the scheduled forecast transmission is delayed, the existing valid forecast based on the earlier 6-hourly data can be used until a new forecast is transmitted.
Aviation Weather Services, Advisory Circular 00-45F, Change 2 (March 2009) 8 FORECAST CHARTS
8.1 Short-Range Surface Prognostic (Prog) Charts Short-Range Surface Prognostic (Prog) Charts (Figure 8-1) provide a forecast of surface pressure systems, fronts and precipitation for a 2-day period. The forecast area covers the 48- contiguous states, the coastal waters and portions of adjacent countries. The forecasted conditions are divided into four forecast periods, 12-, 24-, 36-, and 48-hours. Each chart depicts a “snapshot” of weather elements expected at the specified valid time.
The Surface Prognostic (Prog) Charts are available at the Aviation Digital Data Services (ADDS) web site at: http://adds.aviationweather.noaa.gov/progs/.
Figure 8-1. Surface Prog Chart Example
AC 00-45F, CHG 2 Section 8: Forecast Charts Page 8-1
Aviation Weather Services, Advisory Circular 00-45F, Change 2 (March 2009)
8.1.1 Content COLD FRONT • COLD FRONTOLYSIS
WARM FRONT WARM FRONTOLYSIS
STATIONARY FRONT STATIONARY
OCCLUDED FRONT FRONTOLYSIS
OCCLUDED FRONTOLYSIS
CHANGE OF FRONT TYPE
COLD FRONTOGENESIS HIGH PRESSURE CENTER
WARM FRONTOGENESIS LOW PRESSURE CENTER
STATIONARY TROPICAL (TRPL) WAVE
FRONTOGENESIS TROUGH (TROF) OR L xxx TROPICAL DEPRESSION
OUTFLOW BONDARY (OUTFLOW BNDRY)
TRPCL STORM TROPICAL STORM
DRYLINE XXX
RIDGE HURCN HURRICANE
SQUALL LINE XXX Figure 8-2. Surface Prog Chart Symbols
8.1.1.1 Pressure Systems Pressure systems are depicted by pressure centers, troughs, isobars, drylines, tropical waves, tropical storms and hurricanes using standard symbols (Figure 8-2). Isobars are denoted by solid thin gray lines and labeled with the appropriate pressure in millibars. The central pressure
8.1.1.2 Fronts Fronts are depicted using the standard symbols in Figure 8-2.
8.1.1.3 Squal Lines Squall lines are denoted using the standard symbol in Figure 8-2.
8.1.1.4 Precipitation Rain (light, moderate, heavy) Snow (light,moderate, heavy) RR K Thunder (with rain, snow,no precipitation) Shower (rain, snow) Drizzle ~ Freezing rain, Freezing drizzle Ice pellets/Sleet Fog (shallow.deep) 00 Haze AC 00-45F, CHG 2 Section 8: Forecast Charts Page 8-2
Aviation Weather Services, Advisory Circular 00-45F, Change 2 (March 2009) Figure 8-3. Surface Prog Chart Precipitation Symbols
Precipitation areas are enclosed by thick, solid, green lines (Figure 8-4). Standard precipitation symbols are used to identify precipitation types (Figure 8-3). These symbols are positioned within or adjacent to the associated area of precipitation. If adjacent to the area, an arrow will point to the area with which they are associated. A mix of precipitation is indicated by the use of two pertinent symbols separated by a slash (Figure 8-4). A bold, dashed, grey line is used to separate precipitation within an outlined area with contrasting characteristics (Figure 8-4). For instance, a dashed line would be used to separate an area of snow from an area of rain.
Figure 8-4. Surface Prog Chart Precipitation Example
Precipitation characteristic are further described by the use of shading (Figure 8-5). Shading or lack of shading indicates the expected coverage of the precipitation. Shaded areas indicate the precipitation is expected to have more than 50% (broken) coverage. Unshaded areas indicate 30-50% (scattered) coverage.
AC 00-45F, CHG 2 Section 8: Forecast Charts Page 8-3
Aviation Weather Services, Advisory Circular 00-45F, Change 2 (March 2009)
Figure 8-5. Surface Prog Chart Precipitation Coverage
8.1.2 Issuance Short-Range Surface Prognostic (Prog) Charts are issued by the Hydrometeorological Prediction Center (HPC) in Camp Springs, MD. Table 8-1 provides the product schedule. The 12- and 24-Hour Surface Prognostic (Prog). Charts are issued four times a day and are termed “Day 1” progs. The 36- and 48- Hour Surface Prog Charts are issued twice daily and are termed “Day 2” progs. They are available on the HPC web site at:
http://adds.aviationweather.noaa.gov/progs/.
Table 8-1. Short-Range Surface Prog Charts Schedule Issuance Time (UTC) ~1720 ~2310 ~0530 ~0935 Valid Time (UTC) 12-Hour Surface Prog 0000 0600 1200 1800 24-Hour Surface Prog 1200 1800 0000 0600 36-Hour Surface Prog 0000 NA 1200 NA 48-Hour Surface Prog 1200 NA 0000 NA
8.1.3 Use Short-Range Surface Prognostic (Prog) Charts can be used to obtain an overview of the progression of surface weather features during the next 48 hours. The progression of weather is the change in position, size, and intensity of weather with time. Progression analysis is accomplished by comparing charts of observed conditions to the 12-, 24-, 36-, and 48-hour progs. Short-Range Surface Prognostic (PROG) Charts make the comprehension of weather details easier and more meaningful. For example, in Figures 8-6 through 8-9, the cold front located from the eastern Great Lakes to Missouri is forecast to move southeastward and the High pressure center just north of the Minnesota/North Dakota boarder is also forecast to move southeast and weaken.
AC 00-45F, CHG 2 Section 8: Forecast Charts Page 8-4
Aviation Weather Services, Advisory Circular 00-45F, Change 2 (March 2009) .2-HR FOST OF FRONTS/PRESSURE AND WEATHER VALID: 0000Z FRI DEC 17 2004 H H 1031 H /TROF ISSUED: 16317 THU DEC 16 200 Figure 8-6. 12-hour Surface Prog Chart Example AND WEATHER VALID: 1200Z FRI DEC * * H §40 1042 TROF TROF ISSUED: 16327 THU DEC 16 2004 Figure 8-7. 24-hour Surface Prog Chart Example AC 00-45F, CHG 2 Section 8: Forecast Charts Page 8-5
Aviation Weather Services, Advisory Circular 00-45F, Change 2 (March 2009)
Figure 8-8. 36-hour Surface Prog Chart Example
AC 00-45F, CHG 2 Section 8: Forecast Charts Page 8-6
Aviation Weather Services, Advisory Circular 00-45F, Change 2 (March 2009)
Figure 8-9. 48-hour Surface Prog Chart Example AC 00-45F, CHG 2 Section 8: Forecast Charts Page 8-7
Aviation Weather Services, Advisory Circular 00-45F, Change 2 (March 2009)
8.2 Low-Level Significant Weather (SIGWX) Charts The Low-Level Significant Weather (SIGWX) Charts (Figure 8-10) provide a forecast of aviation weather hazards primarily intended to be used as guidance products for pre-flight briefings. The forecast domain covers the 48 contiguous states and the coastal waters for altitudes 24,000 ft MSL (Flight Level 240 or 400 millibars) and below. Each chart depicts a “snapshot” of weather expected at the specified valid time.
Figure 8-10. 12-Hour Low-Level SIGWX Chart Example
8.2.1 Content Low-Level Significant Weather (SIGWX) Charts depict weather flying categories, turbulence, and freezing levels (Figure 8-11). Icing is not specifically forecast.
AC 00-45F, CHG 2 Section 8: Forecast Charts Page 8-8