ANC13CA044

NTSB accident investigation · Piper PA-18-150 · Palmer, AK · May 7, 2013

Accident · No injuriesData collectionFinal report
Date
May 7, 2013, 13:45 local (21:45 UTC)
Place
Palmer, AK
Injuries
1 uninjured
Damage
Substantial damage
Phase of flight
Enroute
Aircraft
N8899YPiper PA-18-150
Defining event
Enroute-cruise: Loss of engine power (partial)
Weather
Visual (VMC) · Day
Status
Completed · report August 29, 2013
Report
Approved by Office Director
NTSB office
Alaska Regional Office
Parties
FAA FSDO
FAA report
20130507008789A
Case key
86894

From the NTSB’s public API. By law, NTSB reports can’t be used as evidence in lawsuits over the accident.

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Probable cause

The pilot's failure to use continuous carburetor heat while operating in conditions conducive to carburetor icing, which resulted in the development of carburetor ice and a subsequent partial loss of engine power.

Findings · 2

NTSB’s coded findings. Those marked are part of the probable cause; the rest are factors or other findings. Under each, the cases with the same finding.

Use of equip/info: use of equip/systemPersonnel issues › Task performance · PilotPiper PA-18-150: 20 casesAll aircraft: 1,391 casesProbable cause
Temp/humidity/pressure: conducive to carburetor icingEnvironmental issues › Conditions/weather/phenomena · Effect on operationPiper PA-18-150: 15 casesAll aircraft: 435 casesProbable cause

Sequence of events

The events NTSB coded, in order, by phase of flight. The defining event is the one that best describes the accident. Under each, the cases with the same event anywhere in their sequence.

Analysis

The pilot reported that while in level cruise flight, the engine began to run rough and lost power. Unable to restore full engine power, the pilot selected an area of snow-covered terrain as a forced landing site. During the landing, as the main wheels contacted deep snow, the airplane nosed over, sustaining substantial damage to the right wing lift strut. The pilot reported that he applied carburetor heat after the initial loss of engine power and that the engine was only able to maintain 1,100 rpm. About the time of the accident, a weather observation station located about 25 miles northwest of the accident site reported the temperature at 45 degrees F and dew point at 41 degrees F. According to a carburetor icing probability chart, the airplane was susceptible to icing at both cruise and climb power. The pilot did not report and a postaccident examination of the wreckage did not reveal any evidence of a mechanical malfunction. It is likely that the loss of engine power was due to carburetor icing.

Factual narrative

The pilot reported that while in level cruise flight, the engine began to run rough and lose power. Unable to restore full engine power, he selected an area of snow-covered terrain as a forced landing site. During the forced landing, as the main wheels contacted deep snow, the airplane nosed over, sustaining substantial damage to the right wing lift strut. The pilot noted in his written report to the NTSB that carburetor heat was applied after the initial loss of engine power, and that he was only able to maintain 1,100 engine rpm before the forced landing. At time of the accident a weather observation station located about 25 miles northwest of the accident site was reporting, in part: temperature, 45 degrees F; dew point, 41 degrees F. When the temperature and dew point are entered into a carburetor icing probability chart, the result is in the "Icing-cruise or climb power" category. A Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) airworthiness inspector from the Anchorage Flight Standards District Office traveled to the pilot's private airstrip, and examined the airplane after it was recovered. The inspector reported that he was unable to find any preaccident mechanical problems with the airplane. During a subsequent follow-up conversation, the pilot reported that there were no preaccident mechanical anomalies with the airplane, and given the temperature and dew point at the time of the accident, the loss of engine power was likely due to carburetor icing.

Aircraft

Registration
N8899Y
Reported as
Piper PA-18-150
Category
Airplane
Serial number
18-7409031
Engine
Lycoming O-320-A2B, 150 horsepower, reciprocating
Damage
Substantial damage
Flight
Personal · Part 91
Operator
Westcott Brett M
Registered owner
Westcott Brett M
Airworthiness certificate
Standard, Normal
Departed
6AK7 · Wasilla, AK
Destination
6AK7 · Wasilla, AK
Flight plan
Unknown

Matched to the registry by N-number and the event date; the registry’s history has gaps, so older matches can be wrong. Compare the reported make and model.

Flight crew

As NTSB recorded them. NTSB leaves out names.

Role
Pilot
Age
49
Injuries
None
Certificate
Airline transport
Airplane ratings
Single-engine land
Instrument ratings
Helicopter
Medical
Class 2, Without waivers/limitations
Seat
Front
Flight hours
7,000 total · 520 in this make and model

Weather

Conditions
Visual (VMC) · Day
Visibility
10 statute miles
Lowest ceiling
5,500 ft overcast
Temperature
46 °F, dew point 27 °F
Altimeter
30.25 inHg
Observed at
PAAQ, 25 nm away

Docket · 3

The files NTSB released with the investigation on May 30, 2013, on NTSB’s docket system: statements, records, photos and specialists’ reports. 3.1 MB in all.

FAA reports on this event · 1

The FAA’s own accident and incident reports, matched to the aircraft by N-number and date.