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NTSB finding · Environmental issues › Conditions/weather/phenomena › Temp/humidity/pressure

All 30 cases14 in the probable cause
Cases
30
In the probable cause
14 (47%)
Fatal cases
3
NTSB code
03031015

NTSB has coded findings and defining events since 2008. Earlier cases used its older occurrence and cause codes, so they aren’t counted here.

When and where

In green, cases where NTSB made it part of the probable cause; in gray, a factor or other finding. Findings are coded with the final report, often a year or more after the event, so the latest years are incomplete.

Cases per year

2008In the probable causeFactor only2026

Where

Open the map
Query with SQL
duckdb -csv -c "SELECT year(c.\"eventDate\") AS year, count(DISTINCT f.case_mkey) AS cases,
    count(DISTINCT f.case_mkey) FILTER (WHERE f.\"inProbableCause\") AS in_probable_cause
  FROM 'https://openairdocs.org/data/latest/ntsb_findings.parquet' f JOIN 'https://openairdocs.org/data/latest/ntsb_case_detail.parquet' c ON c.\"mKey\" = f.case_mkey
  WHERE starts_with(f.\"findingCode\", '03031015') AND c.\"eventDate\" >= DATE '2000-01-01'
  GROUP BY 1
  ORDER BY 1"

Prints the counts as CSV. It reads the release’s Parquet files over HTTPS, so there’s nothing to download first. Install DuckDB to run it.

In the same cases

Defining events
Aircraft models

Aircraft matched to the registry by N-number and date.

Other findings
Query with SQL
duckdb -csv -c "WITH matched AS (SELECT DISTINCT case_mkey, aircrafts_position FROM 'https://openairdocs.org/data/latest/ntsb_findings.parquet' WHERE starts_with(\"findingCode\", '03031015'))
  SELECT * FROM (
  SELECT 'Defining event' AS kind, e.\"tier2Number\" AS code, max(e.\"eventTier2Name\") AS name, count(DISTINCT f.case_mkey) AS cases
  FROM matched f JOIN 'https://openairdocs.org/data/latest/ntsb_events.parquet' e ON e.case_mkey = f.case_mkey AND e.aircrafts_position = f.aircrafts_position AND e.\"isDefiningEvent\"
  WHERE e.\"tier2Number\" <> ''
  GROUP BY ALL
  UNION ALL
  SELECT 'Aircraft model', a.aircraft_model_code, any_value(concat_ws(' ', m.manufacturer, m.model)), count(DISTINCT f.case_mkey)
  FROM matched f JOIN 'https://openairdocs.org/data/latest/ntsb_aircrafts.parquet' a ON a.case_mkey = f.case_mkey AND a.position = f.aircrafts_position
  LEFT JOIN 'https://openairdocs.org/data/latest/faa_aircraft_model.parquet' m ON m.code = a.aircraft_model_code
  WHERE a.aircraft_model_code IS NOT NULL
  GROUP BY ALL
  UNION ALL
  SELECT 'Other finding', left(g.\"findingCode\", 8), max(g.\"tier4Name\"), count(DISTINCT g.case_mkey)
  FROM 'https://openairdocs.org/data/latest/ntsb_findings.parquet' g
  WHERE g.case_mkey IN (SELECT case_mkey FROM matched) AND NOT starts_with(g.\"findingCode\", '03031015') AND g.\"findingCode\" GLOB '[0-9][0-9]*'
  GROUP BY ALL
  )
  QUALIFY row_number() OVER (PARTITION BY kind ORDER BY cases DESC) <= 10
  ORDER BY kind, cases DESC"

Prints the counts as CSV. It reads the release’s Parquet files over HTTPS, so there’s nothing to download first. Install DuckDB to run it.

Newest cases · 30

NTSB ERA24LA230Accident · Serious injuriesClass 3 · LimitedFinal reportPiper PA-28-151 · Hope Mills, NCA loss of engine performance due to carbon fouling of three spark plugs that, when combined with the airplane’s high gross weight condition, resulted in a collision with trees and terrain.May 26, 2024 · N33563 · Substantial damageNTSB CEN21LA351Accident · Serious injuriesClass 3 · LimitedFinal reportCozy Mark IV · Rushville, NEA total loss of engine power due to an obstruction of airflow to the engine as a result of the landing brake being deployed in flight.Aug 2, 2021 · N1361S · Substantial damageNTSB ANC21LA056Accident · Serious injuriesClass 3 · LimitedFinal reportCessna 170B · North Pole, AKThe pilot’s exceedance of the airplane’s takeoff performance limitations, which prevented the airplane from gaining sufficient altitude to clear the trees off the departure end of the runway.Jul 1, 2021 · N2746D · DestroyedNTSB CEN21LA251Accident · Minor injuriesClass 4 · LimitedFinal reportKevin Lippert Zenith CH 750 · Montrose, COThe loss of engine power due to fuel vapor lock.Jun 5, 2021 · N902KL · Substantial damageNTSB WPR21FA210Accident · 1 fatalClass 3 · FieldFinal reportMark Coby Early Bird Jenny · Stoneville, NCThe pilot’s exceedance of the airplane’s critical angle of attack during the takeoff initial climb, which resulted in an aerodynamic stall and a loss of control.May 27, 2021 · N831HC · DestroyedNTSB CEN20LA286Accident · Minor injuriesClass 3 · LimitedFinal reportRobinson R44 · Welsh, LAA partial loss of engine power while in flight due to corrosion of engine components, which resulted in a loss of control and a subsequent impact with terrain.Jul 2, 2020 · N7511D · Substantial damageNTSB WPR19LA259Accident · No injuriesClass 3 · LimitedFinal reportPiper PA28 · Marana, AZExcessive fuel pressure and temperature throughout the fuel system due to heat soaking, which resulted in an engine fire during engine start.Sep 14, 2019 · N4403Z · Substantial damageNTSB GAA19CA431Accident · No injuriesData collectionFinal reportDiamond DA40 · Tavernier, FLThe pilot's delayed decision to go around in high-temperature and high-density altitude conditions and his exceedance of the airplane’s critical angle of attack, which resulted in an aerodynamic stall.Jul 4, 2019 · N420NG · Substantial damageNTSB CEN18LA119Accident · Serious injuriesClass 2 · LimitedFinal reportCzech Sport Piper Sport · Addison, TXThe operator’s use of improper fuel, which resulted in partial loss of engine power due to vapor lock.Mar 10, 2018 · N422PS · Substantial damageNTSB GAA17CA515Accident · No injuriesData collectionFinal reportBellanca 7KCAB · Winnemucca, NVThe pilot’s improper landing flare, which resulted in a bounced landing, and his subsequent loss of airplane control during an attempted aborted landing.Sep 2, 2017 · N1701H · Substantial damage
See all 30 cases
Query with SQL
duckdb -csv -c "SELECT c.\"ntsbNumber\", c.\"eventDate\", c.\"eventType\", c.\"eventCity\", c.\"eventStateOrRegion\", a.n_number, a.\"aircraftMake\", a.\"aircraftModel\", c.\"highestInjuryLevel\", c.\"totalFatal\", c.\"completionStatus\", c.report_url
  FROM 'https://openairdocs.org/data/latest/ntsb_case_detail.parquet' c LEFT JOIN 'https://openairdocs.org/data/latest/ntsb_aircrafts.parquet' a ON a.case_mkey = c.\"mKey\" AND a.position = 1
  WHERE c.\"mKey\" IN (SELECT f.case_mkey FROM 'https://openairdocs.org/data/latest/ntsb_findings.parquet' f WHERE starts_with(f.\"findingCode\", '03031015'))
  ORDER BY c.\"eventDate\" DESC, c.\"ntsbNumber\" DESC"

Prints the whole list as CSV. It reads the release’s Parquet files over HTTPS, so there’s nothing to download first. Install DuckDB to run it.