ERA16LA008

NTSB accident investigation · Cessna 172S · Seville, FL · October 10, 2015

Accident · FatalLimited investigationFinal report
Date
October 10, 2015, 14:00 local (18:00 UTC)
Place
Seville, FL
Injuries
1 fatal, 2 serious
Damage
Substantial damage
Phase of flight
Maneuvering
Aircraft
N5295YCessna 172S
Defining event
Maneuvering-low-alt flying: Windshear or thunderstorm
Weather
Visual (VMC) · Day
Status
Completed · report January 25, 2018
Report
Approved by Office Director
NTSB office
Eastern Region Aviation
Parties
FAA/FSDO, Lycoming
FAA report
20151010022379A
Case key
92150

From the NTSB’s public API. By law, NTSB reports can’t be used as evidence in lawsuits over the accident.

On this page

Probable cause

The airplane’s encounter with a downdraft, and the pilot's decision to maneuver the airplane at a low altitude and airspeed, which provided insufficient time and altitude to recover before impacting terrain.

Findings · 2

NTSB’s coded findings. Those marked are part of the probable cause; the rest are factors or other findings. Under each, the cases with the same finding.

Wind: downdraftEnvironmental issues › Conditions/weather/phenomena · Effect on operationCessna 172S: 1 caseAll aircraft: 178 casesProbable cause

Sequence of events

The events NTSB coded, in order, by phase of flight. The defining event is the one that best describes the accident. Under each, the cases with the same event anywhere in their sequence.

Analysis

The commercial pilot reported that, during a local flight, he encountered a downdraft while maneuvering the airplane between 300 and 600 ft above ground level at an airspeed about 75 knots. He stated that he attempted to recover, but the airplane continued to sink and subsequently impacted trees and terrain. Postaccident examination of the airplane did not reveal evidence of any mechanical any anomalies that would have precluded normal operation. The conditions reported by the closest weather observation facility, located 23 nautical miles away, included scattered towering cumulus clouds and 6-knot winds. Additionally, towering cumulus and cumulonimbus clouds were noted near the airport. Atmospheric modeling data noted the potential for strong low-level thermal activity near the accident site about the time of the accident. Given the weather conditions that prevailed about the time of the accident, it is likely that the airplane encountered a downdraft; given the airplane's altitude and airspeed at the time of the encounter, the pilot had insufficient time to regain control of the airplane before it impacted the ground.

Factual narrative

On October 10, 2015, at 1400 eastern daylight time, a Cessna 172S, N5295Y, was substantially damaged after a loss of control during a low altitude maneuver near Seville, Florida. The commercial pilot and pilot-rated passenger sustained serious injuries, and the rear seated passenger was fatally injured. The airplane was registered to Mike Bravo LLC., and operated under the provisions of 14 Code of Federal Regulations Part 91 as a personal flight. Visual meteorological conditions were reported near the accident site about the time of the accident, and no flight plan was filed. The local flight originated from Daytona Beach International Airport (DAB), Daytona, Florida at 1300.According to the pilot, while flying about 600-650 feet above ground level (agl) at a speed of 75 knots with 20° of flaps, the airplane suddenly "fell out from under" him. The airplane lost 300-350 feet of altitude within a few seconds. He applied full power to recover the altitude but the airplane continued to "sink." He maneuvered the airplane towards a clearing to avoid trees, lost control, and collided with the ground. According to the operator of the airplane, the pilot called twice on the day of the accident. He initially called to apologize for the accident and in the evening, he called to explain what happened earlier that day. The pilot stated earlier that day he brought one passenger and then picked up another. He said that the intent of the flight was to "drop boxes" south of Lake Crescent, at a campsite managed by St. Johns River Water Management District. The pilot said he was aware that dropping objects out of the airplane was prohibited, but assured the operator that he had coordinated with the people on the ground to stay out of the way when the items were dropped. When the pilot reached the campsite, he descended to an altitude between 300 and 600 feet agl, configured the airplane with 20° of flaps, and slowed it to 75 knots. After successfully dropping several boxes, and during the final drop, the airplane encountered a downdraft and lost altitude. The pilot attempted to recover, but the airplane subsequently impacted trees and terrain. Examination of the airframe and engine by a Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) inspector revealed no anomalies that would have precluded normal operation. The 1453 weather conditions reported at DAB included scattered, towering cumulus clouds at 3,500 feet, scattered clouds at 5,000 feet, scattered clouds at 7,500 feet and a broken ceiling at 25,000 feet, and winds from 060° at 6 knots. Additionally, towering cumulus clouds were noted to the south, and cumulonimbus clouds were noted in the distance to the east, southwest, and northwest of the airport. DAB was located 23 nautical miles southeast of the accident site. The National Weather Service National Radar Mosaic for the period depicted isolated echoes associated with rain showers approximately 5 miles west and 10 miles southwest of the accident site, near Georgetownand Aster, Florida on the ends of Lake George, with a small isolated intense area of echoes immediately east of DAB at the time. A North American Mesoscale Model sounding for the area of the accident site suggested the potential for strong low-level thermal activity and an unstable atmosphere, with expected clouds developing near 3,000 feet agl. The sounding did not depict the presence of low-level turbulence or windshear.

Aircraft

Registration
N5295Y
Reported as
Cessna 172S (S)
Category
Airplane
Serial number
172S9236
Built
2002
Airframe hours
6,119
Engine
Lycoming IO-360-L2A, 180 horsepower, reciprocating
Damage
Substantial damage
Flight
Personal · Part 91
Airworthiness certificate
Standard, Normal
Last inspection
Annual · October 22, 2014 · 65 hours before
Departed
DAB · Daytona, FL
Destination
DAB · Daytona, FL
Equipment
Auto-pilot, Stall warning system

Matched to the registry by N-number and the event date; the registry’s history has gaps, so older matches can be wrong. Compare the reported make and model.

Flight crew · 2

As NTSB recorded them. NTSB leaves out names.

Role
Pilot
Age
26
Injuries
Serious
Certificate
Commercial
Airplane ratings
Single-engine land, Multi-engine land
Instrument ratings
Airplane
Medical
Class 2, With waivers/limitations
Seat
Left
Restraint
3-point
Flight hours
425 total · 340 in this make and model · 350 as pilot in command
Role
Pilot-rated passenger
Age
24
Injuries
Serious
Certificate
Airline transport
Airplane ratings
Multi-engine land, Single-engine land
Instrument ratings
Airplane
Medical
Class 1, With waivers/limitations
Seat
Right
Restraint
3-point
Flight hours
1,300 total

Weather

Conditions
Visual (VMC) · Day
Wind
60° at 6 knots
Visibility
10 statute miles
Lowest ceiling
25,000 ft broken
Temperature
84 °F, dew point 73 °F
Altimeter
29.88 inHg
Observed at
KDAB, 23 nm away

Docket · 9

The files NTSB released with the investigation on October 30, 2017, on NTSB’s docket system: statements, records, photos and specialists’ reports. 10.4 MB in all.

FAA reports on this event · 1

The FAA’s own accident and incident reports, matched to the aircraft by N-number and date.

Other investigations on N5295Y · 1

Matched to the same aircraft by N-number and date.