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NTSB finding · Personnel issues › Experience/knowledge › Experience/qualifications

All 126 cases79 in the probable cause
Cases
126
In the probable cause
79 (63%)
Fatal cases
41
NTSB code
02031015

NTSB has coded findings and defining events since 2008. Earlier cases used its older occurrence and cause codes, so they aren’t counted here.

When and where

In green, cases where NTSB made it part of the probable cause; in gray, a factor or other finding. Findings are coded with the final report, often a year or more after the event, so the latest years are incomplete.

Cases per year

2008In the probable causeFactor only2026

Where

Open the map
Query with SQL
duckdb -csv -c "SELECT year(c.\"eventDate\") AS year, count(DISTINCT f.case_mkey) AS cases,
    count(DISTINCT f.case_mkey) FILTER (WHERE f.\"inProbableCause\") AS in_probable_cause
  FROM 'https://openairdocs.org/data/latest/ntsb_findings.parquet' f JOIN 'https://openairdocs.org/data/latest/ntsb_case_detail.parquet' c ON c.\"mKey\" = f.case_mkey
  WHERE starts_with(f.\"findingCode\", '02031015') AND c.\"eventDate\" >= DATE '2000-01-01'
  GROUP BY 1
  ORDER BY 1"

Prints the counts as CSV. It reads the release’s Parquet files over HTTPS, so there’s nothing to download first. Install DuckDB to run it.

In the same cases

Defining events
Aircraft models

Aircraft matched to the registry by N-number and date.

Other findings
Query with SQL
duckdb -csv -c "WITH matched AS (SELECT DISTINCT case_mkey, aircrafts_position FROM 'https://openairdocs.org/data/latest/ntsb_findings.parquet' WHERE starts_with(\"findingCode\", '02031015'))
  SELECT * FROM (
  SELECT 'Defining event' AS kind, e.\"tier2Number\" AS code, max(e.\"eventTier2Name\") AS name, count(DISTINCT f.case_mkey) AS cases
  FROM matched f JOIN 'https://openairdocs.org/data/latest/ntsb_events.parquet' e ON e.case_mkey = f.case_mkey AND e.aircrafts_position = f.aircrafts_position AND e.\"isDefiningEvent\"
  WHERE e.\"tier2Number\" <> ''
  GROUP BY ALL
  UNION ALL
  SELECT 'Aircraft model', a.aircraft_model_code, any_value(concat_ws(' ', m.manufacturer, m.model)), count(DISTINCT f.case_mkey)
  FROM matched f JOIN 'https://openairdocs.org/data/latest/ntsb_aircrafts.parquet' a ON a.case_mkey = f.case_mkey AND a.position = f.aircrafts_position
  LEFT JOIN 'https://openairdocs.org/data/latest/faa_aircraft_model.parquet' m ON m.code = a.aircraft_model_code
  WHERE a.aircraft_model_code IS NOT NULL
  GROUP BY ALL
  UNION ALL
  SELECT 'Other finding', left(g.\"findingCode\", 8), max(g.\"tier4Name\"), count(DISTINCT g.case_mkey)
  FROM 'https://openairdocs.org/data/latest/ntsb_findings.parquet' g
  WHERE g.case_mkey IN (SELECT case_mkey FROM matched) AND NOT starts_with(g.\"findingCode\", '02031015') AND g.\"findingCode\" GLOB '[0-9][0-9]*'
  GROUP BY ALL
  )
  QUALIFY row_number() OVER (PARTITION BY kind ORDER BY cases DESC) <= 10
  ORDER BY kind, cases DESC"

Prints the counts as CSV. It reads the release’s Parquet files over HTTPS, so there’s nothing to download first. Install DuckDB to run it.

Newest cases · 126

NTSB WPR25LA060Accident · Minor injuriesClass 3 · LimitedFinal reportZall Jihlavan Airplanes S R O JA-600 Skyleader · Reedley, CAThe student pilot’s failure to maintain directional control during the landing roll, which resulted in a runway excursion.Dec 12, 2024 · N789RC · Substantial damageNTSB ERA24LA343Accident · Minor injuriesClass 4 · LimitedFinal reportYakovlev YAK-55M · North Kingstown, RIThe non-certificated pilot’s lack of experience in the tailwheel-equipped airplane and his decision to land in a quartering tailwind, which resulted in a loss of directional control on landing.Aug 10, 2024 · N55YA · Substantial damageNTSB ANC24LA023Accident · No injuriesClass 4 · LimitedFinal reportCessna 150L · Deer Park, WAThe pilot’s improper landing flare which resulted in the airplane contacting the ground short of the runway.Apr 8, 2024 · N19390 · Substantial damageNTSB CEN24LA149Accident · No injuriesClass 4 · LimitedFinal reportVan's RV-12iS · Lake Elmo, MNThe student pilot’s improper landing flare, which resulted in a bounced landing, and the nose gear collapsing. Contributing to the accident was the student pilot’s lack of experience.Apr 5, 2024 · N245EM · Substantial damageNTSB WPR23LA274Accident · Minor injuriesClass 4 · LimitedFinal reportCessna 172N · Long Beach, CAThe student pilot’s failure to maintain directional control during landing and the subsequent go-around, which resulted in impact with a hangar.Jul 10, 2023 · N3307E · Substantial damageNTSB WPR23LA238Accident · No injuriesClass 4 · LimitedFinal reportPiper PA-28-181 · Mesa, AZThe student pilot’s improper flare, which resulted in a hard landing.Jun 17, 2023 · N28034 · Substantial damageNTSB CEN23LA225Accident · No injuriesClass 4 · LimitedFinal reportSkykits Savannah VGW · Flippin, ARThe pilot's loss of directional control during takeoff.Jun 2, 2023 · N341JD · Substantial damageNTSB CEN23FA059Accident · 1 fatalClass 3 · FieldFinal reportEngineering & Research Ercoupe 415-C · Corning, IAThe pilot’s failure to maintain clearance from obstructions during a go-around, which resulted in impact with powerlines, a tree, and the ground.Dec 5, 2022 · N99345 · DestroyedNTSB WPR22FA345Accident · 2 fatalClass 3 · FieldFinal reportPiper PA46 · Seligman, AZThe student pilot’s continued visual flight into instrument meteorological conditions, which resulted in spatial disorientation, a loss of control, exceedance of the airplane’s design limitations, and in-flight breakup.Sep 13, 2022 · N43605 · Substantial damageNTSB ANC22FA053Accident · 1 fatalClass 3 · FieldFinal reportChampion 7EC · Valdez, AKThe pilot’s decision to continue visual flight rules flight into instrument meteorological conditions which resulted in loss of control and collision with terrain.Jul 12, 2022 · N4340C · Destroyed
See all 126 cases
Query with SQL
duckdb -csv -c "SELECT c.\"ntsbNumber\", c.\"eventDate\", c.\"eventType\", c.\"eventCity\", c.\"eventStateOrRegion\", a.n_number, a.\"aircraftMake\", a.\"aircraftModel\", c.\"highestInjuryLevel\", c.\"totalFatal\", c.\"completionStatus\", c.report_url
  FROM 'https://openairdocs.org/data/latest/ntsb_case_detail.parquet' c LEFT JOIN 'https://openairdocs.org/data/latest/ntsb_aircrafts.parquet' a ON a.case_mkey = c.\"mKey\" AND a.position = 1
  WHERE c.\"mKey\" IN (SELECT f.case_mkey FROM 'https://openairdocs.org/data/latest/ntsb_findings.parquet' f WHERE starts_with(f.\"findingCode\", '02031015'))
  ORDER BY c.\"eventDate\" DESC, c.\"ntsbNumber\" DESC"

Prints the whole list as CSV. It reads the release’s Parquet files over HTTPS, so there’s nothing to download first. Install DuckDB to run it.